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	<title>Ol&#039; Bag of Donuts &#187; Drew Brees</title>
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	<itunes:summary>Green Bay Packers news, rumors and prognostications</itunes:summary>
	<itunes:author>Adam Somers</itunes:author>
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		<itunes:name>Adam Somers</itunes:name>
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		<title>Regular season game six vs. Miami: Rodgers&#8217; regression troubling</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/10/17/regular-season-game-six-vs-miami-rodgers-regression-troubling/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/10/17/regular-season-game-six-vs-miami-rodgers-regression-troubling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Oct 2010 04:02:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chris Lempesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game recaps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Packers News, Notes and Opinons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jermichael Finley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike McCarthy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peyton Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Brady]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=3029</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The 2010 season was supposed to be the year of Aaron Rodgers, the year he joined the truly elite group of signal-callers in the NFL.</p>
<p>His face was on the cover of every football-related magazine over the summer. Fans, analysts and media members alike gushed over what he would do. His time had come.</p>
<p>Six games into [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The 2010 season was supposed to be the year of Aaron Rodgers, the year he joined the truly elite group of signal-callers in the NFL.</p>
<p>His face was on the cover of every football-related magazine over the summer. Fans, analysts and media members alike gushed over what he would do. His time had come.</p>
<p>Six games into the season, 2010 is looking like it will go down as the year Aaron Rodgers regressed.</p>
<p>We saw more of that again and again Sunday in the Green Bay Packers&#8217; 23-20 overtime loss to the Miami Dolphins at Lambeau Field. The loss, Green Bay&#8217;s third in four games, drops the Packers to 3-3 on the season.<br />
<span id="more-3029"></span><br />
Some fans will point to anything else they can, other than Rodgers. They will blame the refs, Mike McCarthy, the special teams or the injuries. They&#8217;ll tell you that Rodgers has little or no chance playing behind such a poor offensive line, that he&#8217;s been killed by the drops from the receivers. Can some truth be found in these options? Yes, there can. Certainly, it&#8217;s not all his fault this team keeps losing, despite consistently gutty efforts from an injury-ravaged defense, a unit that has allowed just 18.7 points per game this season.</p>
<p>But do not fool yourself, either. Rodgers simply has not been very good. The offense is a struggling, sputtering vehicle. Well, who is the driver of said vehicle? Oh, that&#8217;s right &#8211; QB12.</p>
<p>Numerous aspects of Rodgers&#8217; game have fallen off during the season. The biggest, of course, being his complete inability to get rid of the ball in a timely fashion. We saw plenty of that Sunday. Some of Miami&#8217;s five sacks and 10 quarterback hits fall on an overmatched offensive line. But, far more often, Rodgers was given plenty of time to make a play. For whatever reason, he failed to do so. </p>
<p>(Quick &#8211; count how many times you yelled, &#8220;Get rid of the damn ball, Aaron!&#8221; at your television. I bet it&#8217;s more than the amount of fingers you have.) </p>
<p>This resulted in countless plays where he either took a sack or eventually had to run out of the pocket before simply tossing the ball out of bounds (the latter a huge reason he finished just 18-of-33 passing). Those dead plays were especially crucial in the second quarter. Clinging to a 10-7 lead, the Packers whiffed on two drives in Dolphins territory. Rodgers took two sacks and almost threw a pick in those series, in case you weren&#8217;t sure.</p>
<p>Miami had been rattled by the way Green Bay stormed back into the game early in quarter two. Had the Packers capitalized there, they could have put a stranglehold on the game. An elite quarterback would have gotten the job done. Rodgers didn&#8217;t. Making matters worse, you could sense he <em>wasn&#8217;t</em> going to do it.</p>
<p>Some may point to his receivers and say the sacks/pressures Sunday were due to them not getting open. That might be true (I&#8217;m not Cris Collinsworth &#8211; I can&#8217;t access the coaches tape). It seems impossible that the receivers could be completely blanketed on each of those plays week after week, though, doesn&#8217;t it?</p>
<p>The real problem here is that, far too often, Rodgers seems unwilling to attempt the tight throws, the &#8220;dangerous&#8221; throws. Making such throws isn&#8217;t always a good idea, but consistently turning them down isn&#8217;t, either. Think I&#8217;m wrong? Put on some tape of Tom Brady or Peyton Manning or Drew Brees. They often have small passing windows. They still make the throws, though, because to be elite, you have to.</p>
<p>Rodgers won&#8217;t do it, even with all the non-Jermichael Finley talent at his disposal. If he doesn&#8217;t have a clear passing lane, that ball is not coming out. My best guess is that he&#8217;s intent on being the anti-Favre. No dangerous throws from me. Honestly, that approach was fine when he wasn&#8217;t throwing picks. But he&#8217;s already thrown seven this season (he had seven all of last year). He won&#8217;t make the dangerous throws, but he&#8217;ll still throw interceptions? Not good, and even worse when you toss in all the sacks he&#8217;s taken.</p>
<p>And if he&#8217;s the player many make him out to be, wouldn&#8217;t he be able to get it done when it mattered most? Yes, he was great on the final drive of regulation, leading Green Bay to a game-tying score. You can not take that away from him. But in the clutch &#8211; the real clutch &#8211; Rodgers has flat-out failed in consecutive weeks. Last week, against Washington, he turned in a three-and-out (in which he was sacked on third down) and a game-changing interception. Sunday? Another three-and-out, which included taking another horrendous sack on third-and-6. How many chances does he expect the defense to give him?</p>
<p>Throw in his truly poor body language throughout Sunday&#8217;s contest &#8211; don&#8217;t tell me his displeasure with the refs didn&#8217;t bring down his game at times, because it did &#8211; and you come away with a picture of a quarterback who seems to have very much lost his way. That&#8217;s troubling. I&#8217;m not ready to say he&#8217;s hit his ceiling yet, but I am wondering how high his ceiling is, exactly.  </p>
<p>For some reason, certain Packers fans just can not bring themselves to criticize whoever&#8217;s manning the quarterback position. Sorry, but this writer spent a decade and a half glossing over every flaw the last quarterback had, simply because he was a fan. He will not make that mistake again.</p>
<p>And it just so happens that that last guy is making his way back to town next Sunday night. Rodgers can erase many of my doubts with a strong performance in that one.</p>
<p>The season hangs in the balance. If it&#8217;s not panic time, it&#8217;s getting awfully close.</p>
<p>Your stage is set, Mr. Rodgers &#8211; what do you plan on doing with it?</p>
<p>-<em>Chris Lempesis</em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>The 2010 Packers, five games in: Let reality be reality</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/10/13/the-2010-packers-five-games-in-let-reality-be-reality/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/10/13/the-2010-packers-five-games-in-let-reality-be-reality/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Oct 2010 01:10:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chris Lempesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Packers News, Notes and Opinons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brady Poppinga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chad Clifton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Woodson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clay Matthews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daryn Colledge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dom Capers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Driver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greg Jennings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jermichael Finley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jordy Nelson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Martz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike McCarthy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peyton Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Pickett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tom Brady]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tramon Williams]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=2994</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>(Note: My streak of game recaps is officially over at 29. Don&#8217;t worry &#8211; I&#8217;ll start a new one Sunday.)</p>
<p>As Gene, Adam and myself exited FedEx Field on Sunday, following the Green Bay Packers&#8217; gutwrenching 16-13 overtime loss to the Washington Redskins, we found ourselves using variations of the same phrase over and over:</p>
<p>This team just [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Note: My streak of game recaps is officially over at 29. Don&#8217;t worry &#8211; I&#8217;ll start a new one Sunday.)</p>
<p>As Gene, Adam and myself exited FedEx Field on Sunday, following the Green Bay Packers&#8217; gutwrenching 16-13 overtime loss to the Washington Redskins, we found ourselves using variations of the same phrase over and over:</p>
<p>This team just isn&#8217;t very good.</p>
<p>In the hours &#8211; about a day and a half&#8217;s worth in all &#8211; that followed our disheartened exit, our overall outlook didn&#8217;t change.</p>
<p>Then, upon arriving back in Minneapolis on Tuesday, I decided to grab some chinese food. My fortune cookie contained an interesting bit of wisdom: Let reality be reality, it said.</p>
<p>That got me to thinking about where the 2010 Packers are five games in.<br />
<span id="more-2994"></span><br />
What is the real reality with this team? Are the Packers the Super Bowl contenders we made them out to be for nine or so months? Are they the stumbling, bumbling trainwreck the three of us made them out to be in our postgame thoughts, which were fueled by anger (and, okay, a little bit of alcohol)?</p>
<p>Reality is rarely black and white. And, in this instance, so are the Packers.</p>
<p>They are not Super Bowl contenders, as we currently find them. Not even close. Let&#8217;s just get that out of the way right now.</p>
<p>There is no continuity to this team. With roughly a third of the season already in the books, it has yet to turn in a full 60 minutes of strong play. That&#8217;d be one thing if the Packers had come close, but by my count, they haven&#8217;t given us more than about 30 consecutive minutes. And that came against the Buffalo Bills, so you know, insert your own joke there.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s the team, as a whole, but really, that extends to each of the three phases, as well. Outside of a few instances &#8211; the middle portion of the Philadelphia game, for example &#8211; the Packers have not been able to get all three units firing at once. The offense looks good in limited minutes early on against Detroit; the defense, Dom Capers in particular, tries its best to blow the game (with an assist from a suddenly out-of-synch offense).</p>
<p>Sunday, on the road in an environment that grew more hostile by the second, the defense came to play. Yes, things weren&#8217;t nearly as good minus Clay Matthews (how could they be?), but forget about the yardage totals. After all, Packers fans should know more than anyone else that they mean nothing, right? On the board, where it counts the most, Green Bay allowed 13 points in regulation. That should always &#8211; repeat: ALWAYS &#8211; be more than enough to win. But it wasn&#8217;t, was it? Nope, because the head coach refused to stick with what worked, seemingly more concerned with proving his intelligence than winning. Mike Martz, meet Mike McCarthy.</p>
<p>The killer instinct simply does not exist. We can take as many shots at Trent Dilfer for what he had to say about the team on ESPN earlier this week, but do not argue his point. He was correct. This team looks great, particularly offensively, in quarter one. After that, it&#8217;s gone. Against average competition, opponents that continually open themselves for the kill shot, the Packers continually fail to deliver it. Again, a third of the season is in the books. Shouldn&#8217;t that have developed by now?</p>
<p>The offensive line is officially back to where it was over the first eight games of 2009. Aaron Rodgers and the receivers have felt compelled to join them. In other words: terrible blocking, terrible pass catching and a quarterback who is making us look foolish for spending so much time saying he&#8217;s in the same group with such legitimate heavyweights as Peyton Manning, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Aaron, meet Tony. You two are in the same grade!</p>
<p>Have I really left out the special teams all this time? I guess, but that&#8217;s only because I&#8217;d like to be able to eat dinner before midnight.</p>
<p>(Now, after saying ALL OF THIS, are ya ready for the part where I take you the other way?)</p>
<p>The 2010 Packers can still turn this thing around. They can become more than what they&#8217;ve been.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not like the talent isn&#8217;t there, even with the injuries mounting faster than my blood alcohol level at the Hawk &#8216;n Dove last Saturday night (damn those girls from Philly!). The offense, even without Jermichael Finley, has talent. Considerable talent. Remember, Finley wasn&#8217;t Finley for 16 games last year. The unit was still pretty good, though, right?</p>
<p>That group just has to play better. Rodgers has to stop looking downfield with every single first read. He needs to hang in the pocket longer, even if pressure is coming. By immediately bouncing out of the pocket, he cuts down half the field. He needs to remember that Greg Jennings is on his team (and No. 85 needs to show himself to be worthy of the elite checks he cashes). Donald Driver needs to stop dropping four passes. That group feeds off his energy, positive or otherwise &#8211; I&#8217;m convinced of it. James Jones and Jordy Nelson have to cash in on the potential each has. It&#8217;s time. These are all things that can still happen.</p>
<p>The offensive line has got to find a way to improve. If they can&#8217;t, it&#8217;s time to swap some guys out (Chad Clifton and Daryn Colledge, I&#8217;m looking right at you). Didn&#8217;t we spend the entire offseason/training camp/preseason talking about the depth there? If the starters can&#8217;t hang, let&#8217;s see some of it, dammit.</p>
<p>I have no real beef with the defense, outside of some penalty issues. The defensive line has been great, both against the run and in providing pressure. That held true even after Ryan Pickett exited the game Sunday. Charles Woodson is struggling a bit, but he&#8217;s clearly good enough to turn that around. Tramon Williams has been this team&#8217;s best player, period. And we can talk all we want about no pass rushing linebacker opposite Matthews, but in a crucial moment in overtime Sunday, there was Brady Poppinga breaking through for a huge sack. It&#8217;s not entirely out of the realm of possibility that someone still emerges.</p>
<p>Things just need to be a little tighter overall with that group. And when Matthews returns, the defense can still take off to a very high level.</p>
<p>You need two more reasons? I&#8217;ve got you covered: the NFC, as a whole, and one Michael McCarthy.</p>
<p>The Packers have not been very good. But let&#8217;s face it &#8211; no one has in the NFC. As of now, there is only one team (the Atlanta Falcons) somewhat close to an elite level. And they&#8217;re not really that close. New Orleans is in a slump. Chicago can&#8217;t keep it up for 16 games, same for Tampa Bay. New York is looking tough, but the jury&#8217;s still out. Same for Philadelphia. And either Dallas or Minnesota will have its season, for all intents and purposes, end Sunday. Go Cowboys.</p>
<p>In other words, it&#8217;s chaos. And who thrives better in chaos than McCarthy?</p>
<p>Seriously, think of all the times we&#8217;ve written this guy off. Early in 2006. Late in 2006. Late in 2008. Midway through 2009. For a big guy, this cat sure dodges a lot of ammo. When things are at their darkest, he somehow finds a way to get the team to rally. Can he do it again? At this point, I&#8217;m not sure I&#8217;d want to bet against him.</p>
<p>And, really, I&#8217;m only sure of one thing: I&#8217;m done talking about the first five weeks. This team is 0-0. The injuries are an issue. The schedule is much harder. We&#8217;re going to find out what this team is made of. Call me crazy, but that excites me.</p>
<p>Bring on the Dolphins.</p>
<p>-<em>Chris Lempesis</em></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Super Bowl XLIV recap: Who dat rides aggressive Payton and near-perfect Brees to championship (plus some other thoughts)</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/08/super-bowl-xliv-recap-who-dat-rides-aggressive-payton-and-near-perfect-brees-to-championship-plus-some-other-thoughts/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/08/super-bowl-xliv-recap-who-dat-rides-aggressive-payton-and-near-perfect-brees-to-championship-plus-some-other-thoughts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 07:21:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chris Lempesis]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Outside the division]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Sean Payton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tracy Porter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=1583</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>(Before we begin: I wasn&#8217;t going to write a recap of this game at first. Then I realized that we&#8217;re roughly nine months away from the next meaningful NFL game. That changed my mind.)</p>
<p>The Who Dat? Nation has finally reached the top of the mountain.</p>
<p>They did so as the New Orleans Saints pulled off a dramatic 31-17 upset of the Indianapolis [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Before we begin: I wasn&#8217;t going to write a recap of this game at first. Then I realized that we&#8217;re roughly nine months away from the next meaningful NFL game. That changed my mind.)</p>
<p>The Who Dat? Nation has finally reached the top of the mountain.</p>
<p>They did so as the New Orleans Saints pulled off a dramatic 31-17 upset of the Indianapolis Colts in Super Bowl XLIV on Sunday night in Miami.</p>
<p>Since plenty of other commentators have weighed in on what this means, not just to the Saints but to the city of New Orleans as a whole, I&#8217;m going to focus strictly on the game itself. There&#8217;s plenty of enough to talk about there, anyways.</p>
<p>The Saints&#8217; turnaround from &#8220;Aints&#8221; to champions was keyed by two people &#8211; head coach Sean Payton and quarterback Drew Brees &#8211; and it&#8217;s really no surprise those two were the reasons the Saints were victorious Sunday.</p>
<p>(Just a quick, completely uncalled for reminder: Vikings&#8217; fans STILL have no idea what this feels like)</p>
<p>Payton rebounded from his conservative approach in the NFC title game two weeks ago on Sunday with a masterfully aggressive gameplan. It wasn&#8217;t always smart and it didn&#8217;t always work &#8211; the decision to go for it on fourth-and-goal late in the second quarter was baffling, to say the least &#8211; but by being aggressive, he showed his team he had confidence in them at every single turn. In sports, that stuff matters.</p>
<p>It certainly mattered on the opening kickoff of the second half.</p>
<p>Payton and Co. shocked the nation by going for an onside kick. After a lengthy pile-up (which had to have been the craziest pile ever), the Saints came away with not only the ball, but the momentum. And when Brees led the offense down for a score &#8211; giving the Saints a 13-10 lead &#8211; it was official that, no matter what Indianapolis did to counter that, the Colts would be behind the cliched eight-ball the rest of the way.</p>
<p>In the biggest games of your life, you turn it loose. Payton did just that.</p>
<p>Of course, it&#8217;s easy to turn it loose when you have a signal-caller like Brees.</p>
<p>As Adam said in giving his prediction, New Orleans&#8217; hopes would rest on Brees&#8217; shoulders. By going 32-of-39 for 288 yards and two touchdowns (no interceptions), Brees showed he was more than up to the task, turning in the closest thing a quarterback can to a perfect game. Playing behind a dominant offensive line (seriously, was he pressured more than a handful of times?), the game&#8217;s MVP found every single open patch in Indianapolis&#8217; Cover 2 defense. He spread the ball around to eight different receivers and showed that, if anyone doubts he should be considered the game&#8217;s best quarterback, they should doubt no more.</p>
<p>Payton and Brees have become the league&#8217;s elite coach-quarterback combo. When you have that, more often that not, you&#8217;re going to be the best.</p>
<p>The Saints were Sunday. And it&#8217;s absolutely deserved.</p>
<p><strong>Other random thoughts on the Super Bowl</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Peyton Manning had his chance to become the best quarterback ever in this one and he blew it. Sure, he completed over 66 percent of his passes for 333 yards, but it was a very non-discript 333 yards. And with the game hanging the balance, Manning made a terrible throw to Reggie Wayne that Tracy Porter (officially my favorite non-Packer) picked and took to the house for the game-clinching score. Manning is still top 10, but he&#8217;s nowhere close to where he could have been (plus, Brees has surpassed him as the best in the game today). Somewhere, Joe Montana is smiling. His status as the best ever is safe.</li>
<li>I tried to tell you The Who should be stopped. If you doubted me then, you can&#8217;t now after watching their abysmal halftime performance. They just can&#8217;t get it done anymore. Can we officially declare the 1960s are over, for God&#8217;s sake? Can the NFL get a band that actually, you know, appeals to its target demograpic (me, for example)? How about Pearl Jam? Or Kings of Leon, maybe? Why does the halftime show always have to be classic rock radio?</li>
<li>Sort of a down year for the commercials. That said, I had two favorites (for different reasons). The funniest was the David Letterman/Oprah/Jay Leno promo for Letterman&#8217;s show. Hilarious. The best was the Megan Fox ad for&#8230;well, I don&#8217;t even know what it was for. Megan Fox in a tub? Yikes. Here&#8217;s how you know it made an impact. Adam and I were having a conversation. We stopped when the commercial came on. When it was over, I said, &#8220;What were we talking about?&#8221; He stared blankly at me before responding, &#8220;I can&#8217;t remember.&#8221; That&#8217;s the effect Fox has on men. I doubt we were the only guys experiencing this.</li>
<li>I love, love, love that Boomer Esiason and Dan Marino were the two former quarterbacks-turned analysts for CBS&#8217; halftime show. Two guys who know a little something about Super Bowl-winning quarterbacking right there. They know as much as you and I do about that.</li>
<li>Esiason had another gem, too, when talking about Brees holding his recently-born son on the field after the game was over. Esiason: &#8220;It&#8217;s really a great moment between a father and son.&#8221; He said it as though <em>every</em> father and son experiences that. Yeah, I remember when my dad and I did that after he won it back in &#8216;81. We talk about it all the time. And, again, what would YOU know about that anyways, Boomer?</li>
<li>Next year, the Super Bowl is in Dallas. How &#8217;bout the Pack goes down there and wins it, shoving it right in Jerry Jones&#8217; cosmetically-altered face? How fun would that be? Just saying&#8230;</li>
</ul>
<p>-<em>Chris Lempesis</em></p>
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		<title>And the winner of Super Bowl XLIV will be&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/07/and-the-winner-of-super-bowl-xliv-will-be/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/07/and-the-winner-of-super-bowl-xliv-will-be/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Feb 2010 17:13:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Adam Somers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL history lessons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outside the division]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dallas Clark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darren Sharper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dwight Freeney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gregg Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jabari Greer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jospeh Addai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peyton Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pierre Thomas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Raheem Brock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reggie Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reggie Wayne]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=1579</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Indianapolis Colts.</p>
<p>And the final score will be 34-24.</p>
<p>And the Super Bowl MVP will be not Peyton Manning, but Dallas Clark.</p>
<p>And he will have 9 catches for 142 yards and two touchdowns.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s to no one&#8217;s surprise that I picked the Colt&#8217;s after I admitted to the world my man crush on Peyton Manning.  I am [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Indianapolis Colts.</p>
<p>And the final score will be 34-24.</p>
<p>And the Super Bowl MVP will be not Peyton Manning, but Dallas Clark.</p>
<p>And he will have 9 catches for 142 yards and two touchdowns.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s to no one&#8217;s surprise that I picked the Colt&#8217;s after I admitted to the world my <a href="http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/05/why-its-cool-to-cheer-for-peyton-manning/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" target="_blank">man crush</a> on Peyton Manning.  I am actually a little surprised that Chris didn&#8217;t try to make up his <a href="http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2009/09/08/2009-nfl-predictions-i-e-where-i-make-myself-look-like-a-fool/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" target="_blank">Nostradamus-like pick</a> of his Tennessee Titans by going with the Saints and hoping for the best.  To have the record show, prior to the year in a small circle amongst friends, including Chris, I picked the Colts to win the Super Bowl and the Titans to miss the playoffs entirely.  Being the unified voice that OBOD is, we went the Titans and I am still shaking my head to this moment.</p>
<p>After reading the Super Bowl previews from both <a href="http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/06/a-look-at-and-prediction-for-super-bowl-xliv/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" target="_blank">Chris </a>and <a href="http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/06/super-bowl-xliv-my-thoughts/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" target="_blank">Gene</a>, there really isn&#8217;t anything left for me to say that they didn&#8217;t cover.  Both did bang-up jobs of breaking down the game (eat your heart out <a href="http://twitter.com/SI_PeterKing" target="_blank">Peter King</a>), so I am going to try to pick up a couple table scraps and explain why I think the Colts win by two scores that doesn&#8217;t involve Manning.</p>
<p>First, who is going to cover Dallas Clark?  If Visanthe Shiancoe gave the Saints problems last week, Clark could be an absolute nightmare tonight.  Reggie Wayne steals a lot of the attention, but it is basically Clark, not Wayne, who has replaced Marvin Harrison.  Check out these identical stats.</p>
<p>Wayne: 100 rec, 1264 yards, 12.6 avg, 10 TD</p>
<p>Clark:  100 rec, 1106 yards, 11.1 avg, 10 TD</p>
<p>Jabari Greer can probably hold his own against Wayne, but it is Clark who will present a tremendous matchup problem for Gregg Williams.  The X-factor is Darren Sharper.  He may be the best Clark-kryptonite the Saints have, but he will then be forced to leave his ball-hawking centerfield position in game where turnovers will be critical for a Saints upset.</p>
<p>My second point why the Colts will win is the running game.  A lot of Manning&#8217;s success comes from playaction.  I expect the Colts to coming out running, not passing early.  Looking beyond his fumbles, Adrian &#8220;All Thumbs&#8221; Peterson ripped up the Saints run defense pretty good a couple weeks ago.  Joseph Addai is not Peterson, but Manning is not Brett Favre.  The Colts don&#8217;t need a 140 yards from Addai, but more like 75 yards, enough to get the playaction going.  If they are successful with that the Saints secondary will be on their heels the whole game.</p>
<p>On the flip side, Pierre Thomas could be the key for a Saints upset.  The Colts defense is predicated on speed, which in my opinion will make Reggie Bush a non-factor.  But what if the Saints come out and pound the ball with Thomas right at Dwight Freeney and Raheem Brock?  The Colts are not great against the run (24th in the NFL), but have righted the ship some in the playoffs.  However, the Colts have to respect Drew Brees, unlike Joe Flacco or Mark Sanchez.  The Saints cannot go conservative like they did against the Vikings, but if they success running the ball, it could give Brees enough time to exploit any mismatches down field.</p>
<p>I do believe the Saints can win and as it should, the game will rest of the shoulders of their best player, Brees.  However, actually winning is a different story.  Brees will play well, but I think Manning plays better.  Either an early turnover or the Saints inability to get Manning off the field will lead to an early hole for the Saints, which will feel like the abyss against Manning.  Chris is right saying that if the Saints force a shootout they have a chance because they are best-equipped team in the league in playing from behind.  However, on the other side ol&#8217; corral is Manning, who will have just one more round in the chamber than Brees.</p>
<p><em>-Adam Somers</em></p>
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		<title>A look at (and prediction for) Super Bowl XLIV</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/06/a-look-at-and-prediction-for-super-bowl-xliv/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/02/06/a-look-at-and-prediction-for-super-bowl-xliv/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 06:54:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Chris Lempesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL News and Notes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outside the division]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bob Sanders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darren Sharper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peyton Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reggie Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sean Payton]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=1571</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>At last, it&#8217;s almost here.</p>
<p>Soon, there will be no more hype. No more injury reports. No more analysis. No more rumors of some band claiming to call themselves The Who playing the halftime show.</p>
<p>Seriously, fellas, you need to stop. You&#8217;re killing all of us.</p>
<p>Soon, Super Bowl XLIV will be upon us, with the Indianapolis Colts [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At last, it&#8217;s almost here.</p>
<p>Soon, there will be no more hype. No more injury reports. No more analysis. No more rumors of some band claiming to call themselves The Who playing the halftime show.</p>
<p>Seriously, fellas, you need to stop. You&#8217;re killing <em>all of us</em>.</p>
<p>Soon, Super Bowl XLIV will be upon us, with the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints battling it out to determine the world champions. But, since it&#8217;s not quite time yet, I figured I&#8217;d weigh in with my thoughts on the game. There&#8217;s a good chance Adam and Gene will give their respective thoughts and predictions rather shortly, so make sure to check back for those.</p>
<p>(Quick aside: You might have noticed that I stopped doing the weekly &#8220;Breaking down&#8230;&#8221; posts right after the week of the Cowboys game, way back in mid-November. The reason for that was simple: The Packers were on a winning streak. And you don&#8217;t you-know-what with a winning streak. Like I&#8217;ve said before, I&#8217;m superstitious to an astounding degree.)</p>
<p>Since pretty much everyone on the planet is picking the Colts &#8211; currently a five-point favorite the last time I checked &#8211; I&#8217;m going to use this post to try and answer a simple question: How do the Saints go about winning Sunday?<br />
<span id="more-1571"></span><br />
When I really looked at it, I came up with the following five things (my prediction for the game will follow):</p>
<ol>
<li>Blitz Peyton Manning sparingly, if at all. Yes, yes &#8211; I know this goes against the standard football logic that says you have to pressure a great quarterback if you want to throw him off his game. But with the way Manning&#8217;s playing, you have to throw that logic out the window. Instead, the Saints need to take a page out of &#8211; brace yourselves &#8211; Bob Sanders&#8217; playbook. Shocking, I know, but remember what Sanders did against Manning last season while he was still defensive coordinator of the Packers? He did what he always did: Swept four and dropped seven into coverage (with very little blitzing). It worked perfectly as Manning was never quite comfortable with all those defenders roaming in the secondary. Manning finished just 21-of-42 for 229 yards, with no touchdowns and two interceptions as Green Bay romped to a 34-14 win. With his lightening-fast delivery and knowledge of every blitz possible, Manning leaves you almost no chance to sack him, anyways. So you have to play the odds and throw as many bodies into coverage as you can and just hope someone makes a play. With players like Darren Sharper in their secondary, the Saints could do it.</li>
<li>Get physical with the receivers &#8211; very physical. Obviously, the Colts have a very good offense. But theirs is a finesse offense (as is the case with almost every dome team). This is especially true with regards to their receivers. Again, they&#8217;re very good, but I don&#8217;t see much physicality in that group. So you jam them, you press them &#8211; hell, you flat-out grab them off-the-snap if you have to. You might draw a penalty, yes, but you will also begin to frustrate them. That, in tune, will frustrate Manning (believe it or not, I still think that&#8217;s possible). The Colts are not necessarily a vertical offense; they rely heavily on short-and-intermediate stuff. Being physical with the pass-catchers cuts down on the timing you need to run those routes.</li>
<li>Do not let the Colts run the ball early on. This one&#8217;s simple: If the Colts can run early, Manning can playaction frequently. If that happens, game over.</li>
<li>Sean Payton: Don&#8217;t forget what got you here. Like everyone else, I was stunned at how conservative Payton became during the course of the NFC Championship Game. He took the ball out of Drew Brees&#8217; hands and decided the Saints were going to become a ball-control offense. That&#8217;s not how the Saints won 13 games in the regular season and it almost caused them to lose to the Vikings. Get back to what you to best. Put Brees in the shotgun and let him wing it all over the yard. You&#8217;re going to need at least 35 points to win this one, Sean, and running on first-and-second down won&#8217;t do that for you.</li>
<li>Make Reggie Bush the focal point of your offense, especially early. With just nine total offensive touches for 41 yards (and a score), Bush was a glaring non-factor in the Vikings&#8217; game. That can&#8217;t happen again Sunday. We can talk all we want about how Bush just hasn&#8217;t been the pro we all thought he&#8217;d be, but the fact remains: When he makes plays, the whole team is lifted (and opponents get the wind kicked out of them). He can break the game open Sunday, but he&#8217;ll need the ball way more than nine times for that to happen. The Saints should be aiming more for the 15-20 touch range and if that happens, you can almost guarantee Bush will break something.</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Prediction</strong></p>
<p>Unlike a lot of people, I really believe the Saints have a shot to win this one. After all, their offense is no shrinking violet and their defense, while certainly not great, can produce turnovers at key moments (see: the end of regulation in the Vikings&#8217; game). With the way the Colts are playing, that might just be the only formula you can beat them with: Score, score, score and just hope for a turnover at some point. The Jets tried a gameplan based around running and defense and it worked &#8211; for less than a half. The Saints have to be thinking shootout. The only problem there is&#8230;</p>
<p>You&#8217;re getting into a shootout with, arguably, the greatest quarterback ever &#8211; which I think Manning becomes with a win Sunday &#8211; playing the best ball of his career. Everytime I look at this game, that&#8217;s all I keep coming back to: He&#8217;s one win away from possibly being the best ever. How does he let that moment pass him by? Sure, he&#8217;s had some playoff stinkers in the past, but he&#8217;s just so close now. And when the great ones are that close, they usually don&#8217;t slip up.</p>
<p>And Manning won&#8217;t slip Sunday.</p>
<p><strong>Prediction:</strong> Indianapolis Colts 38, New Orleans Saints 31</p>
<p>-<em>Chris Lempesis</em></p>
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		<title>Matthews finishes third in defensive ROY vote</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/01/05/matthews-finishes-third-in-defensive-roy-vote/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2010/01/05/matthews-finishes-third-in-defensive-roy-vote/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 04:49:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gene Bosling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Packers News, Notes and Opinons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Cushing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Woodson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clay Matthews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darrelle Revis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peyton Manning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=1369</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Get ready for a long line of postseason awards where Packers players don&#8217;t get the credit they should. The first such snub came tonight.</p>
<p>Clay Matthews, the Packers&#8217; revelatory rookie linebacker who&#8217;s posted 10 sacks, recovered three fumbles, forced another and made 50 tackles this season, finished third in the voting for the NFL&#8217;s defensive rookie [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Get ready for a long line of postseason awards where Packers players don&#8217;t get the credit they should. The first such snub came tonight.</p>
<p>Clay Matthews, the Packers&#8217; revelatory rookie linebacker who&#8217;s posted 10 sacks, recovered three fumbles, forced another and made 50 tackles this season, finished third in the voting for the NFL&#8217;s defensive rookie of the year. Houston linebacker Brian Cushing, Matthews&#8217; college teammate at USC, won in a landslide, and Buffalo&#8217;s Jairus Byrd was second.</p>
<p>The Cushing pick is legitimate&#8211;he posted 134 tackles, registered five sacks and picked off four passes, all-around numbers Matthews doesn&#8217;t have. The thing that bugs me  a little about the result, though, is how few votes Matthews got. It&#8217;s a strong defensive rookie of the year field, but with 10 sacks and the transformational effect he&#8217;s had on the Packers&#8217; defense, don&#8217;t you think he deserves more than three votes?</p>
<p>This won&#8217;t be the last time you see a Packers player come up short of an award in the next two weeks, I don&#8217;t think. I&#8217;ve got a hunch Charles Woodson won&#8217;t win defensive player of the year (possibly losing to New Orleans&#8217; Darren Sharper, the Jets&#8217; Darrelle Revis or &#8212; in the ultimate injustice &#8212; the Vikings&#8217; Jared Allen). And Aaron Rodgers isn&#8217;t likely to factor much into the MVP vote. Not with media darlings like Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Judas in the running.</p>
<p>That isn&#8217;t to say those three quarterbacks aren&#8217;t deserving (though we at OBOD have serious reservations about the MVP candidacy of a quarterback who signed with a team and helped them improve by two games). Nor is it to say Revis wouldn&#8217;t be a good choice for defensive POY. But in a year where the Packers had a handful of standout individual performances, yet only got three Pro Bowlers, it seems like they&#8217;re flying too far under the radar. If Woodson doesn&#8217;t win, that would be the biggest injustice tossed the Packers&#8217; way.</p>
<p><em>&#8211;Gene Bosling</em></p>
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		<title>Who dat? Not you, Judas</title>
		<link>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2009/11/30/who-dey-not-you-judas/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://olbagofdonuts.com/index.php/2009/11/30/who-dey-not-you-judas/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 05:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gene Bosling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outside the division]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brad Childress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darren Sharper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Drew Brees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gregg Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Judas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike McKenzie]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://olbagofdonuts.com/?p=1241</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>UPDATE: I&#8217;ve been graciously informed by reader Holly that &#8220;who dey&#8221; refers to the Bengals, while &#8220;who dat&#8221; is the Saints. Whoops. Thanks for the catch, Holly. Can&#8217;t keep my Southern team cheers straight. And if you don&#8217;t think Cincinnati is in the South, spend some time there. Right over the border from Kentucky. Anyway&#8230;</p>
<p>Hey everybody&#8211;Gene here, back [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>UPDATE: I&#8217;ve been graciously informed by reader Holly that &#8220;who dey&#8221; refers to the Bengals, while &#8220;who dat&#8221; is the Saints. Whoops. Thanks for the catch, Holly. Can&#8217;t keep my Southern team cheers straight. And if you don&#8217;t think Cincinnati is in the South, spend some time there. Right over the border from Kentucky. Anyway&#8230;</p>
<p>Hey everybody&#8211;Gene here, back from a couple weeks of vacation. Nothing too out of the ordinary went down, despite what you might read here. You shouldn&#8217;t believe all the legendary Gene Bosling stories you here. You should, however, believe some of them.</p>
<p>Anyway, just wanted to post my quick thoughts on the Saints/Pats game tonight. I only watched part of it, so I&#8217;ll keep it brief.</p>
<p>First, it was perversely flattering to watch the Saints construct their secondary out of the 2003 Packers (Mike McKenzie and Darren Sharper so far) and shut down the Patriots and Randy Moss. Makes you wonder why those guys could never do it, at least to that degree, with the Packers. Maybe, just maybe, it&#8217;s because Gregg Williams is a notch or two above Ed Donatell?</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s not the point of this post. It&#8217;s this: Perhaps some of you see the 10-1 Vikings and think Judas is going to get his way, lyin&#8217; and grinnin&#8217; and gunslingin&#8217; and riverboat gamblin&#8217; and actin&#8217; like a little kid out there and doing all sorts of other things with the &#8216;g&#8217; dropped from them because it&#8217;s part of his folksy charm, all the way to the Super Bowl. After seeing the Saints dismantle the Pats, I&#8217;ve come to this conclusion: It ain&#8217;t happenin&#8217;.</p>
<p><span id="more-1241"></span></p>
<p>First, that offense. We all saw what Brees did to the Packers last season and how it changed everything the Packers would have done in response. And it&#8217;s well-documented, despite what the Judas acolytes were saying after the game, that the Vikings have trouble defending the pass. With those weapons, in the Superdome, can you imagine what Brees would do to that secondary? Now, some of it depends on how much time he can get. But he hit them for 330 in a Monday night game last year, and his weapons are even more diverse this year, with or without Reggie Bush. The Saints have given up just 13 sacks, and they&#8217;ll probably wind up with home-field advantage, which helps the pass protection.</p>
<p>The other reason this Saints team is so good, of course, is the defense. They led the league in offense last year, but went 8-8 because they couldn&#8217;t stop anybody. So they got Williams, who has rejuvenated Sharper&#8217;s career and made him a Pro Bowl safety again by letting him do what he does best &#8212; roam the secondary and pounce when he sees fit. Malcolm Jenkins is playing well, and the Saints have a solid 26 sacks. They&#8217;ve also notched 36 takeaways and scored seven defensive touchdowns. That&#8217;s a huge bonus with this offense.</p>
<p>And here&#8217;s the other thing, the reason I still don&#8217;t see this twisted fairytale working out for Judas. He&#8217;ll likely have to go to New Orleans and trade TDs with Brees. The Vikings aren&#8217;t built to do that, because it makes Adrian Peterson and their pass rush less effective, and we know what happens when Judas  is forced to play that game. The Vikings aren&#8217;t built to come from behind, and Judas certainly isn&#8217;t wired to keep up with that kind of offense in the playoffs (St. Louis in 2001, anyone?). Maybe he truly is different. Maybe Brad Childress will <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">somehow fail to make his usual allotment of egregious coaching boners</span> lead the Vikings to the Super Bowl. I just can&#8217;t see it. I still believe Judas is sitting on at least one stinker of a game, and he&#8217;s plenty capable of cooking one up in January.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s well-documented among us at OBOD that we want to play Judas one more time &#8212; why not? We&#8217;d have nothing to lose, all the pressure would be on them and Aaron Rodgers is finally starting to establish a sense of timing with a short passing game. But even if the Packers don&#8217;t get another shot at him, I wouldn&#8217;t worry too much after seeing that tonight.</p>
<p>If it comes to it, the Saints should have enough to take him down.</p>
<p><em>&#8211;Gene Bosling</em></p>
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